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Twice is Coincidence

Posted Sunday, November 28, 2010, at 11:35 AM

I believe General George S. Patton is attributed with the quote; "Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action."

On Nov. 9, a Chinese submarine launched an unarmed ICBM just 35 miles off shore from Los Angeles, Calif. The launch was captured on video by a KABC traffic helicopter. What should have been screaming national headlines for weeks all but disappeared within 24 hours.

On Nov. 18, a Chinese submarine shot down a Canadian F18 and a U.S. F22 Raptor. The Raptor crashed in Alaska just outside of Denali National Park. The Raptor was carrying a B83 nuclear bomb on board. The crash site is now a nuclear HazMat area. Of the handful of news sites carrying the report, they all contained about two paragraphs of virtually identical information. No reports were definitive, but it appears that the Raptor pilot did not survive. There has been no coverage of this story on TV or radio. Why?

Now China is warning us that the planned naval maneuvers with South Korea in the Yellow Sea are a bad idea. While mulling that warning over, park in the back of your mind that a cyber attack from China earlier this year disabled not less than 50 American ICBM's, China has been waging war on our currency for the past couple of years and has now agreed with Russia to stop using dollars when settling trade accounts between their nations. China has invaded and conquered several islands in its region and is presently pressuring, with military threats, another island into agreeing to be part of China. North Korea, which can't do anything without permission from China, sunk a South Korean destroyer this past spring and spent the better part of a day firing artillery into South Korea killing civilians and soldiers alike. Oh, don't forget, China now leases from Panama, and controls, both ends of the Panama Canal.

Our President apparently refused to allow the U.S. military permission to destroy the sub that launched the missile from within our national waters. Our President restrained South Korea from retaliating for this unprovoked attack. Over the next five or six weeks, our president wants Congress to ratify a new START treaty he just signed with Russia that would have us all but eliminate our nuclear submarine fleet and cut our surface based missiles by about half.

General George S. Patton also said, "Wars may be fought with weapons, but they are won by men. It is the spirit of men who follow and of the man who leads that gains the victory."

Let us examine the spirit of American leaders.

In the 1970s, President Nixon ended American involvement in Vietnam declaring victory but looking a lot like a loss. President Carter cut the U.S. military, gave away the Panama Canal (one of the most strategic points on Earth) and signed two START treaties with the Soviet Union (now Russia).

Every two-bit strongman in every hell-hole of a country called us a paper tiger. American tourists and journalists became targets for kidnapping and terrorism. It took four of the eight years of President Reagan to convince the world that we were just crazy enough to blow them and the rest of the world up. Mutually Assured Destruction was the strategy. The last decade of the Cold War could also be called the "Pax Americana." The fear of and respect for the United States created peace and safety.

History strongly suggests that in international affairs might makes right. The world is governed by the aggressive use of force. As Samuel Cold said about the .45-caliber Peace Maker, "Fear no man, no matter what his size, call on me, for I shall equalize." Mutually assured destruction leads to peace.

Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action. It looks like it is time to accept the truth of the prediction of Winston Churchill that Russia would not be an enduring enemy, but that China would be the next great enemy of the West. China is aggressively using force to get what it wants. We appear to be willing to take the punches that they throw. History offers no example where when conditions like this persist that the aggressor nation does not make a vassal of the subservient nation.

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Charles: Stop telling partial truths. That contrail off California coast was just from a jet.


The headlines you claim were there but quieted after it was proven AND duplicated by commercial jets.

The rogue attacks from North Korea are more likely military "coupes" due to waivering power from ill North Korean President and talk of it shifting to a "play boy" son who has been off at school in Switzerland with little experience. Several military leaders in power there feel that the shift to power needs to be to one who knows something, not to spoiled play boy son. Each one of those military leaders in N Korea think it should be them and want S Korea to recognize them for what they can/might do. If this happens it will discredit the leadership of the current president and any replacement he is thinking about.

While these attacks are quite upsetting to all [My husband was in Seoul last week and flew out of Inchon quite near where that island was located where several civilians and military personnel were killed], the South Korean people and government are being very careful about their response. They don't want another war with their northern neighbor. Except for the few in power and the military, its citizens are poor and undernourished. They are also related to many in South Korea and when some do get through to S Korea, they are helped to integrate into their society. They know a war will kill loved ones on both sides of the border just as it did in our own civil war and would be a very sad thing to occur.

This is a civil war but no war is an isolated one any longer. American and European business interests are there as well as many friendships.

You talk as a bully with your us and them mentality. All China has to do is call in our loans to topple us. They can do it without a single bomb. Did you not listen to the news casts of the Summit a few weeks ago? China is playing the financial card already with regard to not adhering to any pollution controls. The pollution there is terrible but they are making money with their manufacturing methods and cheap labor. So far they have refused to play on a level playing field.

While the situation in the Korean Peninsula IS tenuous, I don't believe your reasoning is credible.

-- Posted by Jenny Moore on Mon, Nov 29, 2010, at 9:59 AM

It does seem incongruous China itself would want a shooting war with its best customer. Victory, certainly. War? Not so much.

-- Posted by LifeObserver on Mon, Nov 29, 2010, at 4:02 PM

"Spoil a generation and you can conquer their offspring"

-- Posted by Claycountian on Mon, Nov 29, 2010, at 7:19 PM

Let me offer a thought.

Hitler repeatedly tested the Versailles Treaty allies before moving into Alsace and Loraine. The move into Alsace and Loraine was itself a test of the Versailles Treaty allies. After all, Alsace and Loraine were German territories seeded to France as war reparations. The invading force was told to retreat if significant resistance developed. Sick from the horrors of the World War, the allies allowed these transgressions pass. After all, even the Germans aren't immune to the horrors of war. The rest is history.

In 1940 it was unimaginable that Japan would attack a U.S. possession even while they were rampaging across the Pacific.

If you are a foreign government taking a calculated risk on an American response, will America retaliate with gunfire for an embarrassing display on their home turf? Will America go to war for the life of one pilot? For Israel, the answer is a definitive YES. If the American president is Ronald Reagan, it is a legitimate possibility. Today, the answer is a confirmed NO.

Could it be that China is testing our likely response to future efforts to either persuade or force Taiwan's return? Perhaps China is contemplating other disquieting moves. Perhaps it is an attempt to put an exclamation point (Mafia style) on otherwise private conversations.

Nothing on Earth is static. If a nation's influence is not growing, it is waning. With extraordinarily rare exceptions, the strong subjugate the weak. Every history book is a graveyard for deceased nations.

As for me, I'll bet that human nature hasn't changed a wit since the days of the Old Testament. I'll bet that it only takes a generation or two for the lessons of history to have to be repeated.

-- Posted by Charles Hear on Mon, Nov 29, 2010, at 11:05 PM

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